Tiago Cacao vs Cezar Cretu Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Tiago Cacao has a slight edge on second serve performance with him winning 45.67% of such points in the past 6 months; Cezar Cretu has won 41.29%. Could this be crucial in determining the outcome?
• Both players are close in return stats: Cacao wins 46.46% of opponents' second serves compared to Cretu's 45.74%. Who has the edge here? Cretu is marginally better at first-serve returns at 30.82%, while Cacao is at 29.97%.
• Under pressure, Cacao has saved 52.63% of breakpoints, slightly ahead of Cretu's 51.55%, indicating more resilience in tight situations.
• Despite Cacao's slightly better breakpoint save rate, Cretu's higher match win percentage over the past year (67.95% vs. Cacao's 59.26%) suggests recent overall stronger performance.
• Surface preferences see Cacao favoring Hard but with a slightly lower win rate than Cretu's best on Clay, which matches his highest career win percentage of 57% on this surface.
• Both players have played primarily at Futures/Satellite/ITF $10K events, but Cretu has outperformed with a 72.88% win rate compared to Cacao's 65.22%.
• Direct encounter history gives an edge to Cretu, who won their only match on Clay in straight sets. Could this repeat?
• Cacao has faced tougher opposition on average during the past year, with average opponent rankings of 311.26 compared to Cretu's 516.4.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Cacao and Cretu are nearly evenly matched with 50% and 47% deciding set wins respectively.
• Cretu excels in breakpoint conversion, having capitalized on 40.96% of his opportunities, more effectively than Cacao's 32.19%.

Editorial Prediction (November 23, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Tiago Cacao and Cezar Cretu promises to be a closely contested one given their statistics across various performance metrics. Cacao has the upper hand in both second serve performance and break point saving, indicative of a strong baseline game and mental toughness under pressure.

Cretu, however, boasts a superior overall match win record over the last year and a distinct edge in breakpoint conversion, hinting at a lethal return game that could exploit any weaknesses in Cacao’s serve.

Notably, their head-to-head history on Cretu’s preferred surface, Clay, favors him, where he claimed victory in straight sets in their single previous encounter.

Considering Cretu's stronger conversion rates and past head-to-head win, Cezar Cretu appears more likely to win this match. However, if Cacao can leverage his second serve strength and maintain composure in critical situations, he could turn the advantage.